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Labour has 99% chance of forming next government, says elections expert – UK politics live

Prof Sir John Curtice, the psephologist and lead election analyst for the BBC, said the chances of a Tory revival were small

Water companies in England have faced a barrage of criticism as data revealed raw sewage was discharged for more than 3.6m hours into rivers and seas last year in a 105% increase on the previous 12 months, Sandra Laville and Helena Horton report.

Some 338 people were detected crossing the English Channel to the UK yesterday, bringing the cumulative number of arrivals so far in 2024 to 4,644: a new record for the first three months of a calendar year, PA Media reports. PA says:

The previous record for arrivals in the three months from January to March was 4,548 in 2022.

There were 3,793 arrivals in the first three months of 2023.

Despite all the evidence to the contrary, Rishi Sunak keeps on telling the British people that small boat arrivals are coming down and his promise to stop the boats remains on track.

Can he not see what is happening from inside his No 10 bunker, or does he think we can’t see it for ourselves?

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